This analysis indicates that using individually modelled past voting choice instead of self-reported past vote choice would have provided a satisfactory solution to the problem of social desirability bias as encountered by the SLOTS survey prior to the 2024 Presidential Election.
In first half of 2024, the most notable changes in voting intent were the rise in support for President Ranil Wickremasinghe as a potential Presidential candidate at the apparent expense of support for likely candidates from the NPP, SJB and SLPP.
